The Science and Methodology of Electoral Forecasting: Analysing Predictive Models in American Presidential Elections

Electoral forecasting represents one of the most complex challenges in political science, combining quantitative analysis with qualitative assessment of numerous variables that influence voter behaviour. This essay examines the methodological approaches and evidential basis for electoral forecasting in American presidential elections, analysing the reliability and limitations of various predictive…

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Originally published at The Science and Methodology of Electoral Forecasting: Analysing Predictive Models in American Presidential Elections