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The haves and have nots of the AI gold rush

The vibes around the current AI boom aren't great, even in the tech industry.

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Posted:

1:17 PM PDT Β· May 16, 2026
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The haves and have nots of the AI gold rush

The vibes around the current AI boom aren’t great, even in the tech industry, according to a lengthy social media post from Menlo Ventures partner Deedy Das.Β 

Das described San Francisco as β€œpretty frenetic right now,” as β€œthe divide in outcomes is the worst I’ve ever seen.”

Using a β€œback of the envelope AI calculation,” he projected that there are around 10,000 peopleΒ β€” founders and employees at companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Nvidia β€” that have β€œhit retirement wealth of well above $20M,” while everyone else worries β€œthey can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there.”

Plus, β€œlayoffs are in full swing,” and β€œmany software engineers feel that their life’s skill is no longer useful,” leading to confusion about the best career paths and β€œa deep malaise about work (and its future),” Das said.Β 

This prompted some eye-rolling on X, with entrepreneur Deva Hazarika arguing that β€œmost of the people in this post” are β€œincredibly fortunate and can simply make a choice to be happy.”

Another user suggested it’s β€œpretty damn novel & also kinda nasty” that in the current cycle, β€œthe same technology is both the lottery ticket & the thing eating your fallback.”

The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen.

Over the last 5yrs, a group of ~10k people – employees at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Nvidia, Meta TBD, founders – have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M (back of the envelope…

β€” Deedy (@deedydas) May 16, 2026

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